Forecasting

This session explores the science of weather safety messaging, its evolution, and effective communication strategies to encourage protective actions during high-impact events, using examples like tornadoes, floods, and recent hurricanes Helene and Milton.

2024 was a busy year for weather, from historic flooding in the southern Appalachians to a crippling ice storm in the Pacific Northwest, plus the eclipse and aurora borealis. Join Meteorologist Steve Glazier as we look back at the year’s most memorable and impactful weather events!

Researchers studied satellite rainfall data for 1,056 cities across the globe for the years 2001–20, and found that 63% exhibited an “urban wet island” effect, meaning they received more annual precipitation in and downwind of their urban areas compared to bordering rural areas.

It is important to monitor how your body feels in the heat. According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), extreme heat caused more emergency department visits associated with heat-related illnesses in May – September 2023 than previous years, especially among males ages 18-64. So, what actions can you take to prepare for extreme heat this summer?

On May 3, 1999, the first-ever tornado to receive the "tornado emergency" distinction tore across central Oklahoma. That tornado was so high-end, and so close to a large metropolitan area, that forecasters decided to invoke "emergency" to convey a sense of the unusually serious peril. 

NHC Director Dr. Mike Brennan highlights improvements to NWS products and services and discusses recent social media chatter on creating a Category 6.
 

Our experts highlighted the significance of global weather models in forecasting, discussing their recent performance improvements and upcoming upgrades.

Climate Central and the American Meteorological Society explore attribution science, highlighting climate change's impact on weather, from extreme events to everyday temperatures, and how meteorologists are integrating these insights into their work and using new tools to understand how our changing climate is changing our weather.

The panel looks at the coverage of weather events by the media, including story selection, geographic bias, and maintaining public trust in news sources, offering insights on effective science communication.

The 1938 Hurricane, a rare and devastating event, struck Long Island and New England on September 21, 1938, causing over 685 fatalities and widespread damage. Join us for a comprehensive discussion on the storm's impact, including a forecast review, and explore how current forecasting capabilities could mitigate similar risks in the future.

WeatherNation's Lead Meteorologist Steve Glazier recaps the top ten weather events in the United States this year. 

In this fascinating and informative talk, Dr. Victor Gensini of Northern Illinois University walks through the environmental forces behind tornadoes and hail, how climate change is impacting severe weather, and how we can better predict severe weather across various time scales. 

Join Derek Arndt, Director of the Center for Weather & Climate at National Centers for Environmental Information and AMS Councilmember, for a presentation on NOAA’s new climate normals and what that means for weather forecasting, agricultural decisions, and much more! 

Get ready for the first El Niño winter since 2018-19. Likely to be the strongest El Niño in more than a decade, this will be one of the main factors affecting global weather patterns this winter. 

Our Weather Band webinar, "Weather, Climate, and the Boys of Summer: A Fall Classic Conversation" promises to uncover the intriguing connections between weather, climate, and America's beloved pastime, baseball. During this event, we will explore topics such as weather-related game delays, weather and temperature’s impact on player performance, and the potential exacerbation of these effects by a changing climate.